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Financial markets, energy stock prices and energy political decisions: the case of Cyprus

Published Online:pp 240-253https://doi.org/10.1504/IJFERM.2020.107668

The impact of energy deals announcements on the stock markets is a topic that concerns not only academics but investors and funds too. This study examines the linkages between financial markets and energy firms' stock price returns after the decision of the Cypriot Government to exploit its oil and natural gas deposits within its exclusive economic zone. This decision has several geopolitical aspects which affect a large number of interested parties. We employ a dynamic conditional correlation model to measure the effect on financial markets as well as energy firms' stock returns. Results provide evidence that there is no significant impact on either financial markets or energy firms' stock prices. Moreover, we highlight the importance of similar political decisions and the reactions of Cyprus' neighbouring countries.

Keywords

energy, financial markets, dynamic conditional correlation, DCC, geopolitics of energy, Cyprus